Wagering calculator
Enter three post-DJ! Round scores below to see wagering suggestions for each player.
First equals twice third with second crushing third
David: Wager all $6,900 if you have confidence in your Final-solving abilities or Sara's wagering abilities. If neither, a wager of $2,500 is good for at least the extra prize potential of a second-place finish (if Tom misses Final) and can possibly score the win if Sara goofs in wagering. Importantly, this latter wager ties Tom should Tom wager $9,400 but give the incorrect response.
Sara: While a wager of all $11,600 may be a rational possibility (since it has the potential to tie Tom if you both get Final right), your more optimal choice is to wager $2,200. Don't fall into the trap of making the Four-fifths Rule wager of $4,401, because if David wagers $2,500, you may fall behind, and in this case it's more important to stay ahead of David than to reap the small benefit your 4/5ths position offers.
Tom: Wager $9,400--wagering any more risks falling behind David's wager of $2,500.
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